Bill Kristol: A Cult Figure of Wrong
Neocon Bill Kristol is so bad at understanding how the world works that even the speakers bureau he uses, The Washington Speakers Bureau, isn't even attempting to hide the fact and is linking to a Washington Post story that says this about him:
Kristol, 63, the eminent conservative commentator, has made so many wrong predictions that he’s become a kind of cult figure of wrong, at least among some media watchers...
[I]n 2006 when he predicted on Fox News that Barack Obama wouldn’t win a single primary against Hillary Clinton....he said repeatedly in October that Vice President Biden was about to jump into the 2016 presidential race...he predicted a victory by Marco Rubio in New Hampshire earlier this month...he said in the Weekly Standard that Rudy Giuliani would run in 2012....
Perhaps Kristol’s wrongest and most consequential predictions were those involving the war in Iraq.
As an advocate of the Bush administration’s decision to invade Iraq, he said, among other things, that the war “could have terrifically good effects throughout the Middle East”; that Saddam Hussein was “past that finish line” in developing nuclear weapons; that “if we free the people of Iraq we will be respected in the Arab world.” He also said, “Very few wars in American history were prepared better or more thoroughly than this one by this president.” He predicted on C-SPAN that it would be a “two-month war, not an eight-year war.”