Friday, November 25, 2011
OOPS!!! Wrong again...
by Brian O'Connor
Another Warming Fail.
Sadly, the one hindrance that the “scientific” theory of global warming continues to run into is actual science. It appears that once again global warmists have overestimated the earth’s reaction to carbon gasses. New predictions (not actual scientific study, but predictions) estimate the effects of carbon in the atmosphere, even in a heavy burning scenario, will be half as much as originally theorized by activist scientists.
The climate may be less sensitive to carbon dioxide than we thought – and temperature rises this century could be smaller than expected. That’s the surprise result of a new analysis of the last ice age. However, the finding comes from considering just one climate model, and unless it can be replicated using other models, researchers are dubious that it is genuine.
If climate sensitivity really is so low, global warming this century will be at the lower end of the IPCC’s estimates. Assuming we keep burning fossil fuels heavily, the IPCC estimates that temperatures will rise about 4 °C by 2100, compared with 1980 to 1999. Schmittner’s study suggests the warming would be closer to their minimum estimate for the “heavy burning” scenario, which is 2.4 °C.
So what the study is saying is that even in an absolute worst case scenario (numbers which the earth is not even close to), the alleged warming results will not be nearly as much as the scare mongers have been telling us they will be. In other words, don’t buy the demagoguery and hype, things are going to stay pretty much the same as they are now.
The most important thing to remember here is that global warming (or climate change, or temperature disruption, or whatever they want to call it next week) is not science, it’s politics. The more actual scientists study the alleged phenomena, the more the theory falls apart.